25 janvier 2006

Prédictions sur les élections

En décembre dernier, j'ai commis un Message aux commentateurs politiques qui disait notamment:
People who make prediction their business—people who appear as experts on television, get quoted in newspaper articles, advise governments and businesses, and participate in punditry roundtables—are no better than the rest of us (at predicting).
Voici quelques citations qui prouvent une fois de plus que tenter de prévoir des dénouements politiques trop longtemps à l'avance n'est pas une chose facile:
Stephen Harper is now typecast, fairly or not, as the grim reaper of Canadian politics. But there is not enough will among the party's rank and file to drive him out. The party doesn't need that kind of bloodbath. The only hope for a change would be if the leader, for the good of the team, voluntarily resigned and called a leadership convention for January.
'These reservations aside, however, Peter MacKay is still clearly, as Liberals themselves attest, the Conservatives' best hope against Paul Martin.
'Stephen Harper might do well to think about this, and recall the time the Nova Scotian cleared the decks for him.'
Lawrence Martin, Globe and Mail columnist, October 6, 2005
Their (the Conservative party's) positions are too socially conservative, I think, to form a government in Canada. People may like their fiscal policies but they're frightened by their social conservatism…It's a pity because it denies people a choice on policy issues.
Kim Campbell, December 1, 2005

Tiré de Harper proves critics wrong sur Politics Watch.
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